UK Mortgage Rates 2025: Will House Prices Finally Fall?

Updated August 2025 | By PoundPath.com Financial Insights Team


Table of Contents

    1. Mortgage Rate Trends in 2025
    2. House Price Predictions: Will They Finally Fall?
    3. Why Are Mortgage Rates Changing?
    4. What Does This Mean for Homeowners and Buyers?
    5. Expert Opinions & Survey Insights
    6. How to Secure the Best Mortgage in 2025
    7. Interactive Mortgage Calculators & Tools
    8. House Price and Mortgage Rate Timeline (2020-2025)
    9. FAQs

Mortgage Rate Trends in 2025

  • Bank of England base rate: 4.0% (August 2025, down from 5.25% in 2023)
  • 2-year fixed (60% LTV): ~3.90%
  • 5-year fixed (60% LTV): ~4.02%
  • Standard Variable Rate (SVR): ~7.60%
Mortgage Product Best Rate Average Rate Notes
2-year Fixed (60% LTV) 3.73% 3.90% Best: Santander
5-year Fixed (60% LTV) 3.86% 4.02% Best: HSBC
SVR 7.60% 7.60% Avoid if possible
  • Major lenders have cut fixed rates in line with BoE reductions.
  • Fixed rates are generally lower than tracker/variable rates.

House Price Predictions: Will They Finally Fall?

  • Most experts predict prices will rise 2-4% in 2025.
  • 19/21 mortgage experts expect growth, not a fall.
  • Ongoing housing shortage and robust employment underpin the market.
  • Risks remain, but a major crash is not widely forecast.

Chart Placeholder: UK House Price Index 2020-2025


Why Are Mortgage Rates Changing?

Key factors:

  • BoE base rate policy
  • Inflation (CPI ~3.6% as of June 2025)
  • Global economic events
  • Lender competition
Date BoE Base Rate Mortgage Rate Trend
Jan 2021 0.1% Ultra-low
Aug 2023 5.25% Peak, affordability crisis
Aug 2024 5.0% First cut, rates ease
Aug 2025 4.0% Fixed deals below 4%

What Does This Mean for Homeowners and Buyers?

  • Remortgaging: Lock in a new deal now; avoid SVR.
  • First-time buyers: More affordable than 2023; big deposits help.
  • Trackers/variable: Could benefit if BoE cuts again, but future is uncertain.
Mortgage Size At 6.85% (2023) At 4.52% (2025) Monthly Saving
£100,000 £655 £510 £145
£200,000 £1,311 £1,015 £296
£300,000 £1,966 £1,523 £443

Expert Opinions & Survey Insights

  • 18/21 experts think rates could fall further in 2025.
  • 19/21 predict house prices will rise, not fall.
  • Some caution due to global risks, but overall optimism for the market.

How to Secure the Best Mortgage in 2025

  1. Act early: Start the process up to 6 months ahead.
  2. Compare deals: Use comparison sites and fee-free brokers.
  3. Monitor rates: Lock in but check for better offers before completion.
  4. Boost credit score: For best eligibility and rates.
  5. Bigger deposit: 20%+ unlocks lowest rates.

Applicant Checklist:

  • Know your deal’s end date
  • Gather ID, payslips, statements
  • Check your credit report
  • Calculate budget and borrowing
  • Contact brokers for advice

Interactive Mortgage Calculators & Tools

  • Monthly Repayment Calculator
  • Remortgage Savings Calculator
  • Deposit Growth Tool

Placeholder: Embed your branded calculators or link to trusted tools.


House Price and Mortgage Rate Timeline (2020-2025)

Year Mortgage Rate News House Price Trend
2020 Record lows Prices rise post-lockdown
2021 Rates up Growth slows
2022 Rates jump, inflation Prices stagnate/dip regionally
2023 Peak rates, crisis Growth slows, regional gaps
2024 Rates cut, stabilisation Prices up 2–3%
2025 Further cuts, sub-4% deals Modest growth

Timeline infographic placeholder: Add your visual here.


FAQs

Q: Are mortgage rates going down in 2025?
A: Yes, fixed rates have dropped below 4% for the first time in years.

Q: Will house prices fall in 2025?
A: Experts expect modest rises, not falls, in 2025.

Q: Should I wait to remortgage or buy?
A: Waiting is risky; lock in a deal now.

Q: What is the BoE base rate?
A: 4.0% as of August 2025.

Q: How does inflation affect rates?
A: High inflation could slow further cuts, but rates are easing for now.


References & Sources

  • HomeOwners Alliance: Mortgage Rate Predictions 2025
  • BBC: What are interest rates and will they fall further?
  • Online Mortgage Advisor: 2025 Mortgage Predictions

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always consult a qualified adviser before making mortgage or property decisions.

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